Global tropical hazards

(from U.S Climate Prediction Center)

NCEP TC watch is showing very little going on in the Australian region out to 18 May, consistent with MJO Phase being in 2 and 3 - over the Indian Ocean while multi-week models calling for fine weather over much of the continent in at least the next couple of weeks. A useful model to see how quickly and where the MJO is predicted to be in the coming fortnight in terms of broad-scale convection.