Global tropical hazards

(from U.S Climate Prediction Center)

NCEP TC watch is not overly excited about cyclones around Australia in the next fortnight, which is not what was expected at the peak of the La Niña. All the activity is currently further west in the Indian Ocean.

Rather, the approaching weak MJO signal looks to be bringing rain right across the tropics for the end of January. The next week will be more interesting.