Seasonal forecast: October - December 2020 (Copy)

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Model form: Coming out of a dreadful run of form from a wet winter that didn’t eventuate for central/northern areas, GCMs are keeping in-step with the developing La Niña signal with cool, wet conditions throughout the forecast area. It should be noted, inputs to the forecast are now settled. This was not the case in May when the IOD and ENSO are still finding their feet. The only model a bit less bullish on a solid wet signal was UK Met, whereas the IRI was heavy on the tropics copping a wet time in the coming three months.

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