Multi-week planner (8-28 days)

De Ja Vu in some sense this fortnight - the anticipation of warmer waters around Australias perimeter and increased cloud cover has some models excited by the prospects for rain over the next 4 weeks. A few more fundamentals favouring wet this time around, coming from our oceans (Modoki & IOD), however, the SOI is still not responding, sitting at zero. The IRI model is still not interested in rainfall over the analysis period anywhere in Australia. NSW and CQ look to be the main areas of favour for the remaining 3 models assessed. Cooler conditions remain until mid-July through all areas, except the tropical north.

Model commentary: Stewards from the channel country and CQ were seen grinning as stallion ACCESS-S came back from vet surgery 2 stone lighter, following erratic performances in recent weeks. However, even as a gelding, this equine continues to show exuberance out of the blocks and punters are still optimistic fortunes will change perhaps now and better form approaching. JMA has crept up on the rails and the mount seems to taking the whip with a long handle this campaign. NCEP is showing a burst of speed at certain intervals along the journey, but prefers NSW and eastern Qld tracks this month.

Go to 10-day Forecast XL for a full summary of all ‘weather models’ as rain events draw closer for your area: https://meteologix.com/au