Multi-week model survey (8-28 days)

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A busy 2-3 weeks ahead for most areas with southern and eastern regions set to capture more of the moisture during the current MJO event, which is currently active over Australia in phase 5-6. When the MJO moves into the Western Pacific in November, gaps appear with fine weather returning for grain harvest in NSW and S Qld.

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Model form: the rather cautious IRI model is more bullish for NSW and showing a dry signal for the tropics in the coming weeks. The JMA is optimistic for Qld earlier in the month and NSW later in November. The BOMs ACCESS S and ECMWF seem to have the rose coloured glasses on throughout the next three weeks and should be taken with a grain of salt. Keep an eye on the Meteologix 10 day Forecast XL as events draw closer for your area: https://meteologix.com/au