(from U.S Climate Prediction Center)

NCEP TC watch is showing activity in the NW of Australia in week 1 and potential TC activity in the same region with the addition of the Gulf.

The MJO signal is weak and not near the Australian region. The outlook is a fairly general reflection of the SSTs (bottom figure) and broad-scale mean sea level pressure anomaly posted in “climate in brief”. Drier in FN Qld and more tropical activity in NW Australia and the eastern Australian mid-latitudes.