Fresh today, the European ECMWF 9-day model is bullish on rainfall for large tracts of eastern and northern Australia. A weak MJO is camped to the north of Australia and the waters in the north-west are very warm. The synoptic pattern shows low air pressure deepening over western and central Australia, consistent with the rainfall outlook.

The tropics have finally come to life on a decent scale. While this ECMWF model is bullish, it is prudent to survey other global models for refining weather-dependent decisions over the coming week.

Visit meteologix.com/au and navigate your way the Model XL forecast for your location.

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