(from U.S Climate Prediction Center)

NCEP TC watch is showing activity in the NW of Australia in week 2 with the anticipated arrival of the MJO into the region north of Australia and potential TC formation and rain in the top end.

The SST anomaly for this week (bottom) shows water warming right around Australia’s perimeter, not unlike a traditional La Nina at its peak. Looks like good potential for Autumn rain on that basis. Chart courtesy: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/ocean/